- THE THREAT FORMULA -

VERSION FRANCOPHONE

                                                   

SUMMARY OF Learners      INTRO & VOCAB

 

 

Body count x distance / time 2

 

 Civilization ceaselessly refines a threat formula stuffed with many more constants and variables.  Recorded history is just a misleading review of this compulsive refinement. 

Humanity has forgotten as much peace technology as its collective memory has retained weapon know-how.  Infant mortality, per capita calories eaten, songs sung: such variables have fluctuated, plateaued, spiked up and down, and soon been forgotten.  Meanwhile, weapon requirements were faithfully retained by our collective memory.  Weapon management is all that we excel at.

Weapon management has never secured its adherents’ safety for very long.  The closer we cleave to weapon technology, the likelier we will be crushed during its next paroxysm, along with everything we hold dear. 

Nonetheless, each nation identifies a multitude of strategic threats – both at home and abroad – and coordinates a vast array of technologies and behaviors to sustain its threat counter-deterrent.

From Trinidad to Tiananmen Square, every modern state is optimized for war.  Every country may go to war immediately, fight indefinitely or be devastated in minutes.  Every modern nation-state is a masterpiece of weapon management. 

We have forgotten most real peace technologies and mentalities (whether based on religion or ideology), even those basic ones adopted by earlier weapon civilizations less defensible than ours.  Everything peaceful that we accept today, we’ve forgotten repeatedly and had to relearn painstakingly and often. 

By definition, pure peace management is ‘prehistoric.’  It is beyond the purview of our historic records because our history has destroyed it.

 

Weapon technology diverts peacetime economies from sustainable levels of development and productivity.  Even in times of peace, many workers are idled to satisfy military recruitment demands.  Many peace technologies are rejected as cost-inefficient (such as solar energy and wind power).  On the other hand, ruinous weapon technologies get double and triple subsidies.  Nuclear power, for example, demands at least fivefold fortunes: one for construction, one for operation and three more for downstream decontamination, security and radioactive waste disposal.  No commercial nuclear reactor has ever been decommissioned; we will revisit its astronomical costs.  A typical weapon system, ruinous from a peace technology point of view, and infinitely lethal.

 

“In an analysis published in 1998, Norman Myers and Jennifer Kent of Oxford University placed annual subsidies worldwide at $390 billion to $520 billion in agriculture, $110 billion in fossil fuels and nuclear energy, and $220 billion for water.  All these and other subsides combined exceed $2 trillion, much of which is harmful to both our economies and our governments.  The average American pays $2,000 a year in subsidies, giving the lie to the belief that the American economy runs in a truly free competitive market.  An additional heavy price, difficult to measure but nevertheless substantial, is levied on the natural environment, which carries the burden of extraction and consumption.”  Edward O. Wilson, The Future of Life, Alfred A. Knopf, New York, 2002, p. 184.

 

Inadequate education and unemployment never reduce inflation, even though controlling inflation has been a routine justification for the abuse of deliberate unemployment.  Unemployment never solves economic problems; it worsens them. 

During World War II – despite total mobilization and full employment – America eliminated inflation by taxing military-industrial profits and redistributing this wealth through GI Bill handouts and foreign aid programs to Europe (the Marshall Plan), Japan and ‘little tigers’ of Asia. 

The Swedish people and government did so – from the end of World War II until its end-of-century backslide into just another McDonald’s parking lot – by taxing everyone and everything, then spending this fortune on massive public works, full employment and social benefits. 

On the other hand, crimes and riots multiply with mass unemployment, so do recruitment rates for the Harm (Armed) Forces, so does the quality of their recruits.  And so do weapon mentors thrive like maggots in carrion. 

Criminal, industrial, environmental and tax wastage have this in common.  Like a beached whale recently butchered on a beach, they leave strips of financial blubber lying around during peacetime.  These can be recycled more efficiently during future military emergencies. 

This is why weapon managers never figure out how to control routine injustice, unpunished crime and economic inefficiency.  These proliferate in peacetime, despite every well- attempts to eliminate them.  Reinvested more efficiently in times of war, this gross peacetime wastage pays for unforeseen but critical military projects. 

Getting a weapon state to operate with justice and efficiency would be like getting a garbage dump to smell like roses.  You can do it, mind you: just cover the garbage with topsoil and plant roses.  But it wouldn’t be a garbage dump any longer.  Weapon technologies cannot be turned into efficient peace technologies without destroying them and without exposing their destroyers to better-armed, more reactionary weapon technicians, both at home and abroad.

 

National reputation is another key factor in the weapons equation.  How successfully have previous wars ended?  How often has the army been victorious?  How often defeated?  Paradoxically, defeated armies often make much more dangerous adversaries than those enjoying a long run of success.  Surviving military defeat and restoring political cohesion are much more demanding governmental tasks than managing victory.  It takes superior leadership to turn military defeat into long-term success.  Any fool can manage a victorious nation.  Haven’t more than one of them been doing so, lately?  The losers’ better leaders are more likely to defeat post-victory mediocre ones, the next time around.

General George Patton asserted that no one ever won a war by standing on the defensive.  The American war experience in Vietnam, and that of the Russians and Americans in Afghanistan, would have baffled him as much as they did his John Wayne peers, Capitalist and Communist alike.  No doubt he would have demanded that we nuke the lot.  The way French generals tried to get the Americans to do, during the battle of Dien Bien Phu in Indochina—drop a nuke (atomics, actually) on the Vietminh Army that French generals had assembled into an enormous target, by deploying their elite troops as bait in the bull’s-eye.

Actually, no one has ever achieved decisive military victory.  Such victories are subject to the material imperfections of other worldly events.  Alexander the Gross of Macedon came close to total victory, but his triumphs cost him his life and his empire. 

America may boast that it won both World Wars, hands down.  However, its many war dead since World War II, its bloated military-industrial-prison complex, collapsing civilian infrastructure, ignorant students and doltish, conniving leadership, all of them add up to give the lie to this rosy scenario.

 

In total war, the bravest, most dutiful, idealistic and diligent fall at the forefront of battle.  Incompetents, cowards, mental fossils and timeservers are left, by and large, to pick up the pieces.  Thus Europe took decades to recover from its Paroxysms, America never recovered from its Civil War, and the ex-Communist powers are just emerging from their traumatized comas.  A nation ravaged by total war resembles a stroke victim who slowly recovers the use of her palsied limbs, voice and memory.

Eventually, every empire falls prey to such internal contradictions.  Only a superb organization can absorb vicious losses and emerge with long-lasting success.  Following defeat, surviving peace technicians (the best of them lost in combat as small unit leaders and gentlemen soldiers, or massacred by both sides as defenseless community leaders – teachers, doctors, priests and such) mend a frayed social fabric, replenish an exhausted production base and reassure a shaken public.  Once they have restored a modest infrastructure of peace as best they could, weapon managers re-emerge, re-assert their illicit control and resume their routine abuse.

I cannot imagine what our civilization would look like if so many artists, good folk and brilliant thinkers had not perished in war.  No doubt, world culture would be far more brilliant, refined and resplendent with meaning—much less cluttered with bad-taste values, mass-produced junk and the literary, philosophical and political trivia favored by the vicious mediocrities that war spares and promotes in their place.

A defeated society’s survival technique is more interesting to study than ‘successful’ military empires we are coached to analyze and revere.  These tend to collapse at the death of their charismatic originator or at their first serious defeat.  Besides, the history of peace mentality is a staccato of well-intentioned flops that culminated in absolute defeat.  Post-defeat strategies should stimulate Learner curiosity. 

We may draw certain conclusions about weapon dissidents.  Their endless defeats make them as hungry for success as they are clueless how to achieve it.  Unfortunately, they are just as headstrong about the validity of their futile tactics, as they are oblivious to their total failure, past and present.  Like crazy people locked in an inescapable box, they repeat the same empty distractions over and over again, expecting different and better results.

Reactionaries have one tremendous advantage over these ineffectual progressives.  Their leaders needn’t be admirable.  On the contrary, better that they were harsh, judgmental, arbitrary and punitive.  A sense of humor is unnecessary: the last refuge of the weak.  Any plausible deviation from these extremes can be accepted as a hypocritical tactic and the deviationist, appreciated for his ability to hoodwink the credulous.  Conservatives will choose a cad, a mediocrity, a smooth-talking con man or an obvious idiot—so long as he embraces Conspiracies of Greed with sufficient gusto.  Reactionaries require no rational policies.  On the contrary, the more emotional, simplistic, escapist, self-serving and prejudicial they are, the better.  Their basic appeal (in code, if necessary) is to greed, panic, bigotry, self-pity and unjustified entitlement.  Emotion is much more important to them than reason: up to and including its total disappearance from public discourse.  In fact, having no policy at all, beyond a few ad hominem clichés, just reduces their vulnerability to rational criticism.

Many conservative politicians have based a successful career on fraud, deceit, blackmail and worse—shared only by those in the know.  The most admired among them focus their malice against select prey minorities.  If their routine wrongdoing had been publicized, it would have spun them into political oblivion, (Joe McCarthy, Richard Nixon, Kurt Waldheim, Radovan Karadzic, George W. Bush, etc.).  Unfortunately, they are shielded by information elites just as corrupt. 

It has been a long-standing habit of reactionary Americans to hog-tie the United Nations, lobotomize the State Department and plant troglodyte leaders in the intelligence community.  The less mastery these organizations display, the more warfare and crises in the world, and the more wartime profits their slimeball patrons may extract. 

After generations of this kind of abuse without correction, all we can expect from those agencies are shoulder-shrugging ineptitude, bureaucratic stagnation, behind-the-scenes mayhem, bigot shadism and media-driven panic-mongering.  Gigantic tax receipts go straight into the pockets of the worst crooks they can find, both at home and abroad.

Progressives, on the other hand, hesitate to back any leader; they expect some Moses to lead them into the Promised Land.  Anyone whose sainthood isn’t certified to their satisfaction isn't worthy of their devotion.  This moralistic ambiguity is their greatest glory and most consistent weakness.  The Perfect Leader they await so placidly can be assassinated with ease.  That clears the political landscape for certified reactionaries and bandits for another generation or two, century or two, until the next charismatic target has the guts to stand up and get shot down just as promptly, and so forth. 

They don’t realize this one vital truth: that the Perfection of Voice and Vision they await so patiently resides in their collective superconscience.  There, it is immune from political assassination and character defect.  Progressives are too panicked to take the initial step of rallying together, regardless of personal and organizational weakness.  They’d rather delegate the risk and responsibility for social transformation to the alluring mirage of some Messiah shimmering in a distant, hazy future.  What moral cowards!

 

Many foreign conquests have merely been ambitious pillaging expeditions dreamt up by a few junior middlemen.  Insignificant militarists, shopkeepers, politicos and religious fanatics have conspired to poor ice chests of red ink and red gore on reluctant, metropolitan bureaucrats. 

As to the influence of the rich, well:

 

“Every great political act involving a new flow of capital, or a large fluctuation in the values of existing investments, must receive the sanction and the practical aid of this little group of financial kings…

“To create new public debts, to float new companies, and to cause constant, considerable fluctuations of values are three conditions of their profitable business.  Each condition carries them into politics, and throws them on the side of Imperialism.

“The public financial arrangements for the Philippine war put several millions of dollars into the pockets of Mr. Pierpont Morgan and his friends; the China-Japan war, which saddled the Celestial Empire for the first time with a public debt, and the indemnity which she will pay to her European invaders in connection with the recent conflict, brings grist to the financial mills in Europe.  Every railway or mining concession wrung from some reluctant foreign potentate means profitable business in raising capital and floating companies.  A policy which rouses fears of aggression … and which fans the rivalry of commercial nations … evokes vast expenditure on armaments, and ever-accumulating public debts, while the doubts and risks accruing from this policy promote that constant oscillation of values of securities which is so profitable to the skilled financier.  There is not a war, a revolution, an anarchist assassination, or any other public shock, which is not gainful to these men; they are harpies who suck their gains from every new forced expenditure and every sudden disturbance of public credit…

“The policy of these men, it is true, does not necessarily make for war; where war would bring about too great and too permanent a damage to substantial fabric of industry, which is the ultimate and essential basis of speculation, their influence is cast for peace, [author’s note: this was written before World War I, which permanently refuted this conclusion]… But every increase of public expenditure, every oscillation of public credit short of this collapse, every risky enterprise in which public resources can be made the pledge of private speculations, is profitable to the big money-lender and speculator.

“In view of the part which the non-economic factors of patriotism, adventure, military enterprise, political ambition, and philanthropy play in imperial expansion, it may appear that to impute to financiers so much power is to take a too narrowly economic view of history.  And it is true that the motor-power of Imperialism is not chiefly financial: finance is rather the governor of the imperial engine, directing the energy and determining its work: it does not constitute the fuel of the engine, nor does it directly generate the power.  Finance manipulates the patriotic forces which politicians, soldiers, philanthropists, and traders generate; the enthusiasm for expansion which issues from these sources, though strong and genuine, is irregular and blind; the financial interest has those qualities of concentration and clear-sighted calculation which are needed to set Imperialism to work.  An ambitious statesman, a frontier soldier, an overzealous missionary, a pushing trader, may suggest or even initiate a step of imperial expansion, may assist in educating patriotic public opinion to the urgent need of some fresh advance, but the final determination rests with the financial power.  The direct influence exercised by great financial houses in ‘high politics’ is supported by the control which they exercise over the body of public opinion through the Press, which, in every ‘civilized’ country, is becoming more and more their obedient instrument…” Imperialism: A Study, by J. A. Hobson, George Allen & Unvin Ltd., London, 1902, Fourth Impression, 1948, pp. 57-60. (Bold italics mine).

 

A situation fraught with disturbance, fear and uncertainty generates the greatest profit for an elite few.  The favorite con of the very rich is to bring the hottest spark of confrontation to the thickest explosive cloud of international tension, without igniting the pool of gasoline in which we’re all floundering. 

Thus the Cold War left us with a hundred and fifty million more war dead, billions more casualties from preventable starvation and disease, and uncounted millions of refugees.  It served as a lush nursery for war profiteers. 

As long as they succeed at this bloody game, they earn themselves unimaginable wealth.  But let them fail for just an instant, and boom!  There go their own kids along with almost everyone else’s, down the drain of total war.

Learners will defy these procedures.  From their perspective, an excellent, fully informed foreign policy would induce the worst possible climate for high-risk investment: too boring, not enough uncertainty for distant victims.  Too much personal recognition, too many intimate interactions (“How are the kids?”) and expressions of mutual esteem.  Nobody would be left, ignored enough to serve en masse as a dehumanized victims ripe for profit taking.  No one would expose his fellows, near or distant, to the likelihood of such disasters, no matter how improbable.  No more profit in that and a lot more hassles.

Effective international policy will apply minimal force to reduce world tensions.  In cosmopolitan interactions, the clearly superior community would sacrifice minor concessions to re-stabilize things after each crisis.  Local moderates will gain full support, while Prisms and Chaosists will be disarmed using minimal force.  This policy will frustrate high-risk speculators on Earth.  Learners will shift their focus to outer space, where their addiction to crisis would do the most good. 

In Learner management, every instrument would serve in its proper place, operating in relative cooperation and harmony with its counterparts, doing only what it does best and leaving the rest up to something or someone better qualified. 

Never again weapon management: some institutionalized cult or ideology (no matter how seductive) attempting to dominate every other, overwhelming all before it by brute force and failing to control anything effectively.  It would seem apparent that only God could control everything under the sun; not some ideology or institution that man had come up with and enforced at gun point.

When weapon policies curdle into massacre and disaster, they cannot be characterized as ‘failures’ or ‘errors,’ as we have been led to consider them.  Instead, weapon managers deliberately worsen vicious outcomes.  After every disaster and mass crime, we are left to ponder, “What went wrong?”  The answer?  “Nothing went wrong.  Everything went strictly according to weapon management’s plans.” 

Every time we mistake the monstrous consequences of deliberate weapon management, for those of petty greed, insanity or stupidity – each just as insignificant – we help weapon managers cover their tracks.

We cannot even consider total nuclear war as a weapon management failure.  After all, once they resort to their sting, warrior bees die.  This fatal consequence does not prevent bees from stinging a threatening target.  And they can flatter themselves, with their last flicker of consciousness, that they have done their honorable duty.  The same thing goes for nuclear holocausters to whom we’ve granted the means of ending civilized life on this planet, in defense of values that might or might not be legitimate.

 

Arms embargoes don’t work, either.  Legitimate regimes and peoples suffer the brunt of bilateral (‘even-handed’) arms embargos.  Weapons embargoes have failed during the Spanish Civil War, the Italian invasion of Abyssinia, the Yugoslav Crisis, the interval between the Iraq Wars, and at other times and places. 

All justice forfeit, an Aggressor’s first reflex will be to outgun his victims from the get-go.  Before they attack, they will have armed themselves to the teeth.  Well-organized (and/or criminal) brokers will provide more weapons on demand, for a price.  Often, these brokers are the same powers authorized to regulate the weapons embargo.  Meanwhile, victimized people and their legitimate governments suffer the brunt of arms embargos.

 

America’s ritual recollection of its trauma at Pearl Harbor has fueled a state of trigger-happy nuclear hyper-vigilance that has kept the global community on the edge of its seat for the last half century.

It is ironic to think that President Franklin Roosevelt could have known Admiral Yamamoto’s attack plan in detail, long before Battleship Row was bombed.  Thousands of American casualties, hundreds of wrecked aircraft and eight obsolete battlewagons settled in the mud shallows of Oahu; these casualties would have been much less painful than the next most likely scenario.

Had the U.S. Battle Fleet toughed out the Japanese attack with fewer losses, it would have sailed off to rescue General MacArthur and his troops in the Philippines, in accordance with an Orange Plan drawn up a decade earlier by ‘battleship’ admirals.  Four American aircraft carriers (conveniently absent from Pearl Harbor on December 7) along with almost every other surface combatant the Navy could muster, (their aircraft obsolete and pilots novice; their primitive radars, cranky or non-existent; and their twitchy torpedoes, useless), would have convoyed entire divisions of Regular Army troops and Marines, as well as hundreds of crated aircraft, artillery and tanks (virtually the entire trained cadre and ordnance inventory of the USA).

Somewhere in the East Pacific, beyond the range of friendly support and trapped in a spider web of fortified Japanese air bases, they would have encountered ten Japanese aircraft carriers loaded with superb aircraft and veteran pilots, twenty modernized dreadnoughts, swarms of submarines and surface escorts bristling with deadly Long Lance torpedoes. 

At the time, bigot American Admirals underrated their opponent’s combat prowess.  Out for blood, the Japanese would not have burdened themselves with cargo ships.  Day-long aerial duels and submarine wolf pack attacks – more imbalanced in favor the Japanese than those at Midway and in the Solomon Islands, which the Americans barely won through heroic sacrifice and miraculous timing – would have alternated with slashing night surface firefights relying on Mark I eyeballs and brutal training instead of infant radar technologies, at which the Japanese routinely whipped the American Navy.

It would have been the battle of Tsushima all over again.  This time, the Americans, blinded by their bigotry and lack of radar, would have succumbed to samurai sailors; instead of the Russians who lost because their stored many rounds of ready ammunition in their secondary battery casemates and turrets (to forestall a sudden Japanese torpedo boat attack), which detonated sympathetically during the first few Japanese long-range, primary gun hits.

Instead of the shallows of Oahu, America’s most vital military assets would have sunk to the bottom of some of the deepest chasms on Earth.  Any survivors who fought their way through to the Philippines would merely have added to Japan’s haul of starving prisoners. 

Reeling from this debacle, lacking trained cadres for its world-spanning armed forces, the USA would have taken another decade to achieve 1944 levels of combat skill.  Of necessity, Americans would have ignored Europe beyond the static defense of England.  Instead, it would have had to counter-attack in Hawaii, Australia, India, China and perhaps even Panama, to secure long-range bomber bases for atomic weapons.  Unlike ourselves, these Americans would have desperately needed atom bombs to defeat their enemy, otherwise unstoppable.

Once again, policy makers on both sides agreed to fail at pre-war planning and negotiation; they resorted to passive-aggressive militarism instead of the active pursuit of peace—exactly the same way we are failing at it today.  All sides committed these errors, rubber-stamped by a castrated League of Nations, long before the Manchurian Incident.  Our United Nations can’t even claim to be marginally better. 

None of today’s governments can claim world peace as its primary goal, none can claim real legitimacy or sovereignty (except at gunpoint with our reluctant consent, like during an aircraft highjack).  All of them are replaceable and need to be replaced by something better.

 

While the first-rate powers are spellbound by the dynamics of military force, the weak are just as tempted to resort to it when the great powers forbear.  High-rank fools (the 1990’s Yugoslav Aggressors, for example) have argued that restraint is a sign of weakness to be exploited in full.

This dilemma is crucial.  When weapon sectarians block the path of peace, they should be disarmed using minimal force.  This is more a problem of rapid police intervention than a military one carried out too late, as we are accustomed to witness.  Questionable expedients may be judged legitimate: like arresting tin pot dictators in their bedclothes and slinging sleeping gas canisters down the ventilation shafts of kangaroo legislatures before they can vote for more war.  We should rely on World Court juried trials, however, for final judgment as to the legitimacy of such tactics.  Local moderates should be encouraged in every other way.

 

After making enormous sacrifices, a defeated nation may achieve strategic superiority over its former tormentor.  In time, it may come to resemble its enemy in more ways than it would care to admit.  Imitation is the sincerest form of self-defense.  Revived losers may be tempted to challenge their old enemies in a grudge rematch.  In that case, they have merely traded places; operant parameters remain the same, mirrored but otherwise undisturbed.

 

Another factor influences the threat deterrence formula.  It is the number of person-years wasted in combat, subtracted every year from the productive pool of labor and permanently from the roster of the living.  Even if humanity had expended in idleness the titanic effort and resources wasted on warfare, everyone could still earn a comfortable salary from a ten-hour workweek and a few working years of several hundred hours each.  We could pursue our topics of passion (or do absolutely nothing) for the rest of our lives.  We’d find ourselves a thousand times richer in any case.

 

Another crucial factor in the weapon formula is the political cohesion that binds a proletariat to its elite.  It cannot be faked or coerced overlong.  Defeat looms if the info proletariat doesn’t support its elite spontaneously.  Popular discontent must remain muted. 

In all but the worst-case scenarios, (see Boom! above), info elites sacrifice very little compared to the benefits they gain.  They reserve for the info proletariat the privilege of sacrifice. 

In the long run, public opinion should remain apathetic, even for overly long and costly wars (and what war isn’t?).  As was the case during the World Wars, once elite youths get massacred as often as proletarian ones, their grieving parental decision-makers refuse to opt for peace.  After all, they have already made the supreme sacrifice.  They won’t give in until their host nation is stomped flat and they, flung up against a wall.  We must forestall this sacrifice and turn it into a celebration shared by the same actors.

 

The number of well-trained warriors, times their rate of fire, divided by re-supply deadlines, times cruising and battle speeds; divided by the defender’s throw-weight, ability to dig in, armor plate, maneuver, evade detection and replace casualties; times ...  These and many other constants and variables make up an intricate threat formula whose  complex elements weapon managers have compulsively refined.

Col. T. N. Dupuy has attempted a definitive formulation of this equation in his book, Understanding War, Paragon House Publishers, New York, 1987.  He didn’t quite succeed.  His results, bearing on the Iraq War and predicting enormous American casualties at the hands of Saddam Hussein’s army, were not predictive.  This formula exists; it just hasn’t been published correctly yet.

In a process strikingly similar to Darwinian selection, alternate bursts of technological innovation have favored the means of attack and defense.  These and many other variables have made up a complicated threat equation.  Morale, morality and cultural factors (for example, eagerness to kill despite God’s forbidding it) may be, if anything, more important than mere details of military hardware and strategy.

Several thousand years ago, the Chinese philosopher Sun Tzu, perhaps the ultimate military theoretician on Earth, listed the five non-negotiable requirements for victory:

 

1.     Politics: how the people may stand alongside their leadership, even at the risk of their lives.

2.     Weather

3.     Terrain

4.     Commander: his particular traits.

5.     Military doctrine: organization, discipline, ordnance and logistics.

 

Presumably, everything else, good or bad, can be endured, made up from scratch or ripped off from the enemy.  This list (and his entire philosophy of military struggle) could serve the goals of World Peace just as readily.

 

Modern nuclear, scalar and biological attacks nullify every known form of defense.  Weapon technicians have optimized this threat formula to such an extent that they have rendered it inoperable and useless.  Modern armies (harmies) – with their superb warriors, exquisite weapons, and extraordinary paramilitary and paracivilian supports – run the risk of total collapse under a rain of computer, nuclear, meteorological, biological and propaganda bombardment.  As a result, modern armies are less and less able to achieve satisfactory results, even while their maintenance costs spiral out of control.

The logical collapse of this value system vindicates Learners.  The time-honored paraphernalia of weapon states has become obsolete.  Virtually overnight, its glories, justifications and tactics have become meaningless. 

If you have carefully followed this line of reasoning, you should be very frightened and excited by now.  Everything we believe in has grown too toxic to swallow.  It is up to us, now, to come up with better alternatives.  It’s about time!

 

It is time we optimized the Armchair Formula at the expense of the Threat Formula.  This project might seem unrealistic and even alien to your way of thinking.  We cannot let that stop us.  We have had so little practice at peace—unlike total war, at which we are experts.  In order for peace to thrive, we will have to reclaim ancient expertise we have forgotten, retrieve it from the collective superconscience that has never forgotten anything.

Until these facts have been fully understood, weapon mentors will make use of the delusion of hypnotized masses to quash this debate.  Learners won’t replace them until global majorities agree to resolve their problems in unison and in peace, despite every call for more war and less peace.  In the meantime, isolated attempts at individual, institutional and mystical improvement will fail, swamped under the social contradictions that surround them. 

It is our duty to defy weapon mentality in all of its incarnations.  We must erase weapon mythology from our conscience, re-codify the law and struggle for a dependable peace.  Let every possible sacrifice be turned into a celebration.  That will get us there.  

Tell yourself, “I am ready.”  Rally with your ready peers.  Work together to broadcast Learners.  Once enough of you have read this text, understood it and rallied around its ideas, the next steps will become obvious, each in its appropriate time and place.

 

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